Over at the Basketball Prospectus John Gasaway points out the Miami may become the RPI test case on Selection Sunday. He has a persuasive argument that Miami may not deserve an NCAA bid unless they beat Clemson tonight despite a lofty RPI ranking. Does a team that lost to Boston College, NC State and Florida State really deserve an NCAA bid over a team like George Mason?
In the one teams's 7-6 is not another team's 7-6 category here is a list of the overall records of ACC opponents for every team in the league.
Team(W-L) | Opponent Win % | Opponents Record |
NC State(4-9) | 0.568 | 84-64 |
Miami(6-6) | 0.558 | 82-65 |
Florida State(5-8) | 0.517 | 76-71 |
Virginia(3-9) | 0.510 | 76-73 |
Boston College(4-8) | 0.507 | 76-74 |
Maryland(7-6) | 0.506 | 81-79 |
Georgia Tech(4-7) | 0.500 | 69-69 |
Wake Forest(6-6) | 0.489 | 73-76 |
Clemson(7-5) | 0.489 | 73-76 |
Duke(10-2) | 0.487 | 73-77 |
Virginia Tech(7-6) | 0.465 | 74-85 |
North Carolina(11-2) | 0.463 | 74-86 |
Please, please stop with the "only two teams that went 9-7 in the ACC were not selected" or even "no 10-6 ACC team has ever been denied a NCAA invite" because those things don't mean anything anymore. With the imbalanced schedule a winning record in the ACC doesn't guarantee anything these days. More and more 9-7 and, yes, even the occasional 10-6 team will be heading for the NIT from the ACC in the coming years.
2 comments:
I don't think a 10-6 team from the ACC will not make the tournament, especially when the ACC remains a top 3 RPI conference. This year, it's number 1, and for the committee to snub a 10-6, top 4 team in the ACC, it would be difficult, whether that's a mental thing for them or not.
I don't think it will happen this year, though if Virginia Tech were to finish 10-6 and lose in the first game of the ACC tournament I do not think they would get in.
A 10-6 ACC team getting snubbed is coming at some point. It is just a matter of when. Syracuse getting left out last season should have sounded the alarm about imbalanced conference schedules and the need to have a good out of conference slate.
More and more 8-8 and 9-7 ACC teams will not get bids. The selection committee has already shown a willingness to give those spots to the George Mason's of the world instead.
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