Wednesday, February 06, 2008

Super Wednesday

Tonight will be a critical test for a number of teams hoping to stay in the race for an NCAA tournament bid. Two bids are all but locked up by UNC and Duke but league supremacy might be on the line tonight. If Duke wins in Chapel Hill tonight you'd have to assume they would be favorites to win the regular season title with a two game lead over the Tarheels. The loss of UNC's Ty Lawson comes at an opportune time for the Blue Devils.

The ACC will probably get four bids with a fifth being a slim possibility. Right now Clemson seems on track to grab the third bid from the conference with a very solid RPI rating. They will travel to Virginia on Thursday in a game they can't afford to lose with a trip to Chapel Hill on the back burner. They will earn their bid if they make it because they face six remaining road games in league play.

The rest of the league is battling for one or possibly two spots. Virginia Tech lost again to NC State last night helping the Wolfpack's chances to stay in the hunt even though they look like one of the worst teams in the league at times. NC State is really a mess of a team, with no decent guard play and a disconnected bunch of players. They have managed to hold things together based on some skin of their teeth victories. I still don't see Sidney Lowe steering this team to the NCAA tournament, however. The Hokies face what amounts to a must win against a desperate Miami team on Saturday. Their 5-3 midpoint record was a bit of a mirage but it has given them just a bit of breathing room.

Speaking of Miami a loss to Florida State tonight might put the nail in their NIT coffin. A loss to FSU with road games at VT and Georgia Tech followed by Duke, Maryland and Clemson might spell the end of their NCAA chances.

Georgia Tech and Wake Forest have another separation game as well. After dropping a game at home to Maryland the Yellow Jackets need to steal a road game against another middling opponent. The loser drops to 3-5 and NIT territory. The Deacons are 3-0 at home in ACC play so far.

Boston College is in free fall mode. They have lost the last four games by an average margin of almost 18 points and their RPI is fading fast. They must beat Maryland tonight to keep their slim NCAA chances alive. With the way Maryland has been playing lately you would think this game should not be close but I have a feeling the Eagles will give the Terps their best shot.

It is signing day for Maryland football and it seems Fridge has pulled in a pretty solid class. I'll write more on the highlights of the class later.

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